Hua Bin • July 15, 2025 • 2,000 Words
I spent the last few weeks on a family road trip to eastern Tibet. It was a fascinating experience and sheds light on life in a remote Chinese region that most people outside the country don’t know or expect. For contrast, I’ll compare this trip with another road trip I made in April in the...
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How US sanctions have boomeranged, and Huawei is not just breaking through, it is transforming into an AI powerhouse
Hua Bin • June 25, 2025 • 1,400 Words
Huawei is transforming in front of our eyes. When the US and Canada detained Meng Wanzhou, the CFO of Huawei Technologies and the founder’s daughter in 2018, Huawei was the world leader in telecom and smart phone production (it was ranked No. 1 in global sales that year ahead of Samsung and Apple). While it...
Read MoreThe market is set to double from 2025 to 2028
Hua Bin • June 24, 2025 • 600 Words
I recently wrote about Morgan Stanley’s April report titled Humanoid: A $5 Trillion Market ( ) A couple of weeks ago, Morgan Stanley published another research paper on the Chinese robotics industry. According to the report, China’s robotics market is set to grow at an annual rate of 23 per cent to US$108 billion by...
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Trust and support must be earned, not bestowed. Iran needs to do more if it wants China’s support
Hua Bin • June 19, 2025 • 3,100 Words
Many Chinese strategists, way smarter and better informed than myself, are working on the issue as we speak. I have implicit trust they will reach the right course of action to protect China’s national interests in the ongoing crisis. My own modest aim in the essay is to offer a dispassionate and nuanced analysis of...
Read MoreChina's calculations are far more complex than people assume
Hua Bin • June 19, 2025 • 100 Words
I’m still putting together the essay laying out my perspective on China’s role in the Iran Israel US war. I am confident it will address many readers’ questions around the war’s implications and China’s potential course of action - of course, from a totally official perspective. I’ll also share a detailed and nuanced analysis of...
Read MoreRestacking a perspective I share
Hua Bin • June 18, 2025 • 200 Words
There are many comments on my last piece on the Iran Israel war - Iran’s predicament is largely a result of its follies. As planned, I have been putting together the next installment detailing China’s likely position and the rationale. Hopefully I’ll publish the essay in the next 24 hours. Meanwhile, I’d like to restack...
Read MoreFollow up on Revolution is not a dinner party
Hua Bin • June 17, 2025 • 1,300 Words
I received many thoughtful reader comments for the essay Revolution is not a dinner party. I thought it worthwhile to share some additional perspectives on why I think Iran’s crisis is at least partly a result of its own mistakes and poor judgement. I will also attempt to speculate, hopefully intelligently, what China’s position would...
Read MoreHua Bin • June 17, 2025 • 100 Words
Just heard the above quote from Jon Stewart’s Daily Show today. You cannot make this shit up. Which parade was Fox News referring to?

Iran’s disastrous nuclear strategy is no match for Israeli and US ruthlessness
Hua Bin • June 15, 2025 • 1,500 Words
Israel’s devastating attack on Iran took the world by surprise. Of course people are hardly surprised that Israel would commit such an act of blatant aggression against another country since the Jewish state has proven, time and again, it is a terrorist rogue regime capable of open genocide, ethnic cleansing, and total disregard of the...
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Hua Bin • June 14, 2025 • 1,200 Words
An investor friend sent me a Morgan Stanley report published in April titled Humanoids: A $5 Trillion Market. The report validates my hypothesis that embodied AI (i.e. humanoids) is the next frontier beyond foundational LLMs. The opening of the report is certainly attention-catching: While Nvidia’s Jensen Huang and Elon Musk remain the biggest celebrity promoters...
Read More432 robots moved a 7,500-ton neighborhood before returning it to its original spot to build a subway
Hua Bin • June 12, 2025 • 800 Words
In the never-ending urban renewal in Shanghai, technology and engineering marvels are demonstrated from time to time. In 2002, the Shanghai government undertook an engineering feat to move the Shanghai Concert Hall, originally known as the Nanking Theatre, a historic building completed in 1930. The building was in the path of a major road expansion...
Read MoreHua Bin • June 12, 2025 • 700 Words
I wrote a three-part piece about the trends in China’s AI development. In the piece, I predicted China will follow a different path to achieve AI superiority from the US. I predicted instead of pursuing the AGI utopian goal as American AI companies, China will pursue a three-pronged strategy to integrate AI to the real...
Read MoreHas Trump’s tariff moved production from China to the US?
Hua Bin • June 10, 2025 • 300 Words
According to the Trump regime, an explicit goal of launching the “liberation day” tariff war is to force US companies to move manufacturing back to the US, especially from China. After two months of on-again-off-again flip flop, the verdict is in on the effectiveness of the stable genius’s “easy to win” tariff war. Last Friday,...
Read MoreHua Bin • June 10, 2025 • 100 Words
Critical minerals will affect high tech manufacturing; and electricity will power AI, mobility, and high-tech warfare such as directed energy weapons. In both areas, China has taken over dominant positions to shape global economies for decades to come.
China's new Killer Drone – not the Ukraine Russia variety, but the true high end technology for future unmanned air...
Hua Bin • June 7, 2025 • 1,000 Words
The surprise Ukrainian attack on Russia strategic airfields caused quite a bit social media discussions in China. Two take-aways stand out – 1. The daring and audacity of the Ukrainian attack – it indeed inflicted damage and embarrassment on the Russians though the victory could well prove pyrrhic if Russia retaliates as expected 2. The...
Read MoreTACO Trump is again making claims President Xi will talk to him before the week is out. Let’s see how many times you can cry wolf before the wolf shows up. Love-struck Trump has been announcing his great friendship with President Xi ever since his second term started (and a few times before that). While...
Read MoreHypersonic weapons are deployed in all China's warfighting domains
China deployed the CH-AS-X-13 hypersonic missile to its nuclear triad in 2025, marking a milestone in integrating hypersonic weapons in all its warfighting domains (land, sea, and air). In 2017, China became the first military in the world to deploy an operational hypersonic missile - the land-based, road-mobile DF-17, a TEL-launched Mach 10 hypersonic missile...
Read MoreAn uninformed but daring hypothesis on the 2024 drone incursions near US military installations
Ukraine launched a surprise attack on multiple Russian airfields on June 1, destroying much of Russia’s strategic nuclear bomber force. With that attack, the 2024 mystery of unidentified drone incursions over US military airports such as Langley Air Force Base could potentially be considered as solved. One can validly reason these drone incursions were rehearsals...
Read MoreHua Bin • June 3, 2025 • 1,000 Words
Last December, on Chairman Mao’s 131st birthday, China flew two new 6th generation fighter prototypes for the first time – the Chengdu J-36 and the Shenyang J-50. Earlier this year, Trump announced the US has awarded Boeing to build its own 6th gen fighter called F-47. The competition to build and field the most advanced...
Read MoreIn the earlier article, I discussed how China is building a Kill Web to deter any foreign intervention in a conflict near its shores around Taiwan, the South China Sea, or the East China Sea. This Kill Web features a multi-layered, redundant, and networked arsenal to achieve mission objectives, particularly in China’s anti-access/area denial (A2/AD)...
Read MoreHua Bin • June 3, 2025 • 1,300 Words
In 2020, Christian Brose wrote a book titled “The Kill Chain”, in which he discussed the coming US China military conflict. Brose was the principal advisor to Senator John McCain on national security and military issues and his staff director when McCain was the chairman of the US Senate Armed Services Committee. In the book,...
Read MoreHua Bin • May 26, 2025 • 1,000 Words
On May 14, China launched into orbit the first batch of satellites for its space computing constellation aboard a Long March 2D rocket from the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Centre. Unlike traditional sensing or communication satellites, those 12 satellites are essentially super computers designed for space-based data processing and AI applications. They form part of the...
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What leads people to celebrate defeat as victory?
Hua Bin • May 24, 2025 • 1,600 Words
Since I wrote “the DeepSeek moment of moder air combat”, more details have come out about the battlefield outcome from the May 7 and 8 Pakistan India clash. In addition to the 3 Rafales, 1 Su-30, 1 Mig-29 and 1 Heron UAV covered in my essay, Pakistan also shot down an Indian French-made Mirage 2000....
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Smart state planning plus ferocious market competition
Hua Bin • May 22, 2025 • 1,000 Words
In standard western economic textbooks, state planning and market competition are mutually exclusive. Thatcher and Reagan brought western capitalism into the neoliberal phase by claiming “Government is not the answer. Government is the problem”, putting market fundamentalism on the altar. On the other side, Soviet central planning proved rigid and wasteful, leading to the eventual...
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Grok reasons that accumulated evidences exceed the probable cause threshold for a grand jury – murder has no statute...
Hua Bin • May 18, 2025 • 2,800 Words
I have published a couple of articles summarizing my discussion on 911 with two AI Assistants (ChatGPT and DeepSeek) in the past year. I decided to have a similar conversation with Grok and the result was illuminating. I started with a general question about 911 and Grok, unsurprisingly, gave me the official version that is...
Read MoreA 1961 speech by Benjamin H. Freedman
Hua Bin • May 15, 2025 • 5,400 Words
Introductory Note I recently read an old pamphlet titled Facts Are Facts by Benjamin Freedman. I felt intrigued enough to research about the author and found a trove of fascinating history. I wrote about one of the Jew practices he discussed to explain Israeli behavior in Gaza “ceasefire” – the Kol Nidre. The pamphlet itself...
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Hua Bin • May 14, 2025 • 3,100 Words
The New York Times is not usually mentioned in the same breath with Mining Journal or the Northern Miner, the leading lights for the mining industry. But between April 14 and 17, NYT ran 5 stories with titles below - China halts critical minerals as trade war intensifies (April 14) What are rare earth metals,...
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The war of systems will define the future rather than stand-alone weapons
Hua Bin • May 12, 2025 • 1,000 Words
The world just witnesses a shockingly one-sided air war between Pakistan and India last week. Pakistan air force, equipped with Chinese weapon systems, took down a large number of India air combat assets while suffering zero loss. The air battle featured Chinese-made J-10C fighters, PL-15 air to air missiles, HQ-9 air defense system, and ZDK-03...
Read MoreIt's a wonder people like Lutnick is tasked to bring manufacturing back to the US and run the economy
One of the funnier episodes after Trump’s tariff war with China was when his Commerce Secretary, the sycophant Howard Lutnick who made his fortune at some Wall Street brokerage, went on TV to talk about the beautiful future to be ushered in – “"The army of millions and millions of human beings screwing in little...
Read MoreQ&A with DeepSeek, Grok, and ChatG
Hua Bin • April 30, 2025 • 6,000 Words
It’s widely reported that Trump’s regime used ChatGPT to help come up with the tariff rates for the 180+ countries to balance US trade deficit. While I have my doubt any AI assistant would be so “not intelligent” to suggest taxing Heard and McDonald Islands, I thought it would be interesting to ask AI how...
Read MoreTrading between enemies is a bad idea
Hua Bin • April 27, 2025 • 800 Words
The current Sino-US relationship is not sustainable in the long run. The US won’t give up its global hegemony. China won’t give up developing its economy and national power. US hostility is open and palpable. China is defiant and confident. There is no way to square a peg in the round role here. A Plaza...
Read MoreHua Bin • April 23, 2025 • 1,100 Words
Regardless what we think of Trump’s tariff war, the trade imbalance between China and the US is indeed substantial and unsustainable in the long term. In typical Trump fashion, when he talks about trade, he chooses to cherry pick and talk only about the merchandise trade where the US runs a trillion dollar trade deficit...
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Interview with Hua Bin
Question 1---What are Trump's tariffs on China supposed to achieve, and will they succeed? Hua Bin--- I don't think Trump has a clear idea himself because many of the supposed goals are contradictory and historically he is a shoot-from-the-hip type guy - no deep thinking, always swinging, and never ashamed of his own blatant lies....
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China has operationalized the world’s first thorium nuclear reactor
Hua Bin • April 19, 2025 • 1,000 Words
As the world is spellbound by the zigzagging tariff war drama launched by reality TV star Donnie Trump and people marvel at the sheer destructiveness of a stupid mad man, a truly momentous event just happened in China. In early April, Chinese scientists achieved a milestone in clean energy technology by successfully adding fresh fuel...
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King Trump is the emperor with no clothes
Hua Bin • April 14, 2025 • 2,200 Words
When I wrote my last essay China’s Strategy to Defeat US by Bankrupting It ( just before Trump’s “liberation day”, I thought I would do a follow up in a month’s time after the dust settles down a little. Things have moved along the trajectory as predicted but at a much faster pace than I...
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Hua Bin • April 1, 2025 • 500 Words
As Trump rolls out his tariffs on the world on “liberation day”, China watches with glee. It doesn't happen everyday when one's adversary blows his head off in front of you on his own initiative. Talk about never interrupt your enemy when he is making the mother of all mistakes… The inevitable result of Trump's...
Read MoreA prominent Jewish futurist talks about Jewish future
Hua Bin • March 24, 2025 • 1,200 Words
Max Singer was a Jewish co-founder of Hudson Institute and a self-styled futurist. Hudson Institute is a right wing think tank originating from Rand Corporation “with a unique future-oriented perspective” (according to their marketing material). Singer’s better known co-founder was a Herman Khan, fellow Jew and the most celebrated nuclear strategist of his day, who...
Read MoreChina’s AI strategy is the same with every industry – winning by changing its economics
Hua Bin • March 22, 2025 • 900 Words
Since I published the three-part essays on key trends of China’s AI development, I have met with a few VCs heavily involved in AI investment in the country. From the conversations, an outline of Chinese AI companies’ strategy became clear and it dovetailed into my predictions. In short, AI players in China intend to succeed...
Read MoreThe religious source of Israel's repeated violations of the ceasefire with Hamas
Hua Bin • March 20, 2025 • 800 Words
After two months of fake ceasefire in Gaza, Israel put an end to it by launching massive new attacks on the Palestinians. Even during the two months, Israel never fully ceased its ethnic cleansing and incurred numerous ceasefire violations. Such behavior is consistent with a long pattern of Jewish failures to honor Arab-Israeli peace treaties,...
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Hua Bin • March 18, 2025 • 1,500 Words
The 2024 Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded to Daron Acemoglu, James Robinson, and Simon Johnson for their work on the economic and political factors that determine why some nations achieve wealth and stability while others fall into poverty and chaos. Acemoglu and Robinson published their work in a book titled "Why Nations Fail: The...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 15, 2025 • 1,700 Words
A Substack reader sent me a link to a book titled Opium Lords – Israel, Golden Triangle, and the Kennedy Assassination. It was written by a Salvador Astucia. I have some familiarity with the subject matters from years of reading Peter Dale Scott, Alfred McCoy, James Douglas, Gary Webb, and Michael Collins Piper. So, I...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 14, 2025 • 1,400 Words
I discussed that embodied AI, vertical AI applications across industries, and mass adoption of low-cost AI are the main trends coming out of China in the coming 2 or 3 years. The underlying assumption of my forecast is China will have the capability to lead the AI development despite US attempt at holding back its...
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Part 2 of three
Hua Bin • March 12, 2025 • 2,300 Words
In earlier section, I discussed that embodied AI, i.e. robots and humanoid, will be among the next big AI moves out of China. I believe another major trend will be application of AI technologies in vertical industries that have yet to be affected by the horizontal foundational LLMs, let alone experiencing broad adoption of AI...
Read MorePart one of three
Hua Bin • March 12, 2025 • 1,200 Words
The ripple effects of DeepSeek’s launch of its V3 and R1 models in late January is still being felt. Compared with the expensively developed LLMs from OpenAI, Meta, and Google, DeepSeek is cost efficient, high performance, and open source. Other tech giants and AI startups in China have also rolled out additional LLM and reasoning...
Read MoreThe foundation for Chinese technology leadership
Hua Bin • March 10, 2025 • 900 Words
DeepSeek has caused quite a stir in the AI field in the last few weeks. Unitree’s humanoid robots are showing some incredible feats in embodied intelligence. Two 6th generation stealth fighter prototypes were unveiled in December. Naturally many people have identified these as demonstrating China is rapidly catching up and surpassing the west in the...
Read MoreThe famous professor is merely a restrained neocon
Hua Bin • March 8, 2025 • 2,300 Words
In the last few years, Professor John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago has become an alternative media celebrity for advocating contrarian views over Russian’s invasion of Ukraine and Israeli genocide in Palestine. Professor Mearsheimer is a world-renowned political scientist and IR scholar. He has written many impactful books – The Tragedy of Great Power...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 5, 2025 • 200 Words
Trump called the Zelensky episode “good TV”. He was right - it doesn’t happen every day you hear honest words and see real emotions in these oval office photo ops. But I find the Starmer visit, preceding Zelensky, the true spectacle. You see Starmer reach into his suit, with fawning smile on his face, and...
Read MoreHua Bin • March 3, 2025 • 900 Words
Just weeks into his second term, Trump has generated an avalanche of global headlines from his clash with Zelensky, tariff wars against all, talk of annexation of Canada and Greenland, and many more. One little but telling episode went barely noticed and commented by the mainstream media. Trump posted a 33-second AI video on his...
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Hua Bin explains "The China Phenomenon"
This essay is the second installment of my interview with Mike Whitney published on Unz Review. This is quite lengthy as I was trying to cover many grounds in Mike’s expansive question about the underlying forces for China’s resurgence. Here's the question: China's Revival in the Context of its History The west likes to talk...
Read MoreMike Whitney Interview with Hua Bin
Hua Bin • February 27, 2025 • 100 Words
I had an interview with reporter Mike Whitney recently and Mike’s article was published on Unz Review, which published my Substack articles as a columnist. I thought it was interesting for my Substack readers on a range of topics from western media report on China, US China technology comparison, Trump, the so-called Uyghurs “genocide” in...
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